You’re in if you win. That is certainly true for Georgia as it prepares for another trip to the SEC Championship Game. However, the same could be said for Alabama. The West Division challenger has one loss, and with a huge upset against the Bulldogs, the Crimson Tide might vault into contention for the College Footb
What can we make of this weekend’s matchup? As the SEC Championship Game begins in Atlanta, let’s look to the SP+ prediction model for help.
all Playoff if they can pull this off on Championship Saturday
SP+ is a “tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that tries to forecast game outcomes by assessing “the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.” How excellent is the season this year? So far this season, the SP+ model is 374-351-14 (51.6%) in spread picks after going 38-
According to the lines at SI Sportsbook, Georgia is a 6-point favorite r Alaboveama, with the total set at 54.5 points. Georgia’s moneyline odds are -225, while Alabama’s are +190. If you’re going to bet on the game using thisprojec tion, you should…
26-1 (59.2%) last week, its second-best performance of the season.
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Most other analytic models also predict Georgia will stay perfect this week. That includes the College Football Power Index, a computr eprediction model that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times to pick winners.
The index predicts that Georgia will win in 52.1 percent of its, while Alabama will win in the remaining 47.9 percent. The computer forecasts a close game, with Georgia defeating Alabama by 0.5 points, or one if we round up, but not by enough to cover the spread
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